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The risk of delay of a project in terms of the morphology of its network

dc.contributor.authorTavares, Luís Valadares
dc.contributor.authorFerreira, J. Antunes
dc.contributor.authorCoelho, José
dc.date.accessioned2011-05-06T16:54:26Z
dc.date.available2011-05-06T16:54:26Z
dc.date.issued1999
dc.description.abstractThe risk of the duration of a project exceeding a certain limit has been studied since the early papers proposing the PERT method but no results are available relating the statistical distribution of the total duration with the morphological features of the network. In this paper, a set of indicators is proposed to describe the morphology of the project network and an experimental research is carried out to relate the distribution of the total duration with such indicators. A random generator of project networks is used as well as a model to produce graphical representations of the network. Major results are presented showing how sensitive are the parameters of the distribution of the total duration to the morphology of the network, allowing the project manager to estimate the risk of delay in terms of the proposed indicators. Thus, these results can be used as a decision aid to select alternative designs for the project network taking into account the correspondent risk of delay.por
dc.identifier.citationTavares, Luís Valadares; Ferreira, J. Antunes; Coelho, José - The risk of delay of a project in terms of the morphology of its network. "European Journal of Operational Research". ISSN 0377-2217. Vol. 119, Issue 2 (1999), p. 510-537por
dc.identifier.issn0377-2217
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.2/1785
dc.language.isoengpor
dc.peerreviewedyespor
dc.publisherELSEVIERpor
dc.relation.publisherversionhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0377-2217(99)00150-2por
dc.subjectProject networkpor
dc.subjectMorphologypor
dc.subjectDelaypor
dc.subjectRiskpor
dc.titleThe risk of delay of a project in terms of the morphology of its networkpor
dc.typejournal article
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.citation.endPage537por
oaire.citation.startPage510por
person.familyNameCoelho
person.givenNameJosé
person.identifierR-000-8V7
person.identifier.ciencia-id7D18-9842-159F
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-5855-284X
person.identifier.scopus-author-id6507772652
rcaap.rightsrestrictedAccesspor
rcaap.typearticlepor
relation.isAuthorOfPublication2926ed15-fe04-4ee4-a40d-ad0a83e33af8
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscovery2926ed15-fe04-4ee4-a40d-ad0a83e33af8

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