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Determinants of fare evasion in urban bus lines: case study of a large database considering spatial components

datacite.subject.fosCiências Sociais::Economia e Gestão
datacite.subject.sdg16:Paz, Justiça e Instituições Eficazes
dc.contributor.authorFreiria, Susana
dc.contributor.authorSousa, Nuno
dc.date.accessioned2025-06-30T05:41:13Z
dc.date.available2025-06-30T05:41:13Z
dc.date.issued2025-06-18
dc.description.abstractThis article presents a large case study of fare evasion on bus lines in the city of Lisbon, Portugal, a common problem in dense urban areas. Focus is put on geographic factors, and an analysis is carried out using a generalized spatial two-step least-squares regression (GS2SLS). The large database, spanning one year of fare evasion reports, made it possible to segregate the analysis according to type of day (workday or weekend) and time period (rush hours, nighttime, etc.). Results show that indeed the type of day and time period lead to considerable differences between the seven models analyzed. It was found that the number of inspection actions is the strongest predictor of evasion, with geographic factors also playing a role in predicting fare evasion. Consideration of this spatial component made it possible to find moderate evidence for dissuasive effects of inspection actions in some models and of pockets of evasive tendencies in other models, which appear in the statistical error term. Interestingly, and contrary to other studies, age was found to have almost no influence on the propensity to evade fares. From a managerial point of view, this study highlights the importance of running inspection actions systematically and closely monitoring their outcomes. From a more theoretical standpoint, it suggests further research on geographic factors is needed to fully understand spatial patterns of evasion.eng
dc.description.sponsorship
dc.identifier.citationFreiria S, Sousa N (2025). Determinants of Fare Evasion in Urban Bus Lines: Case Study of a Large Database Considering Spatial Components. Urban Science, 9(6):231.
dc.identifier.doi10.3390/urbansci9060231
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.2/19967
dc.language.isoeng
dc.peerreviewedyes
dc.publisherMDPI
dc.relationResearch Centre for Territory, Transports and Environment
dc.relationInstitute for Systems Engineering and Computers at Coimbra - INESC Coimbra
dc.relation.hasversionhttps://www.mdpi.com/2413-8851/9/6/231
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
dc.subjectFare evasion
dc.subjectPublic transport
dc.subjectGS2SLS regression
dc.subjectUrban transport governance
dc.titleDeterminants of fare evasion in urban bus lines: case study of a large database considering spatial componentseng
dc.typejournal article
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.awardTitleResearch Centre for Territory, Transports and Environment
oaire.awardTitleInstitute for Systems Engineering and Computers at Coimbra - INESC Coimbra
oaire.awardURIinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/FCT/6817 - DCRRNI ID/UIDP%2F04427%2F2020/PT
oaire.awardURIinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/FCT/6817 - DCRRNI ID/UIDB%2F00308%2F2020/PT
oaire.citation.endPageff.
oaire.citation.issue6
oaire.citation.startPage231
oaire.citation.titleUrban Science
oaire.citation.volume9
oaire.fundingStream6817 - DCRRNI ID
oaire.fundingStream6817 - DCRRNI ID
oaire.versionhttp://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85
person.familyNameFreiria
person.familyNameSousa
person.givenNameSusana
person.givenNameNuno
person.identifier.ciencia-idE914-E920-B2A0
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-5736-3289
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-2681-5035
person.identifier.ridE-8428-2015
person.identifier.ridF-5307-2014
person.identifier.scopus-author-id56152445400
person.identifier.scopus-author-id7003438443
project.funder.identifierhttp://doi.org/10.13039/501100001871
project.funder.identifierhttp://doi.org/10.13039/501100001871
project.funder.nameFundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
project.funder.nameFundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
relation.isAuthorOfPublicatione86e57ff-9916-4e99-b220-66060897538b
relation.isAuthorOfPublication0d49a6e8-e597-4edf-a203-a426d69abd77
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscoverye86e57ff-9916-4e99-b220-66060897538b
relation.isProjectOfPublicationaeeeea46-9621-4ccb-b1fb-37045d3be549
relation.isProjectOfPublication95b97c6f-07fe-4a35-ae5b-3d80b1973818
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